In Williamson County, which includes Round Rock, Georgetown and most of Cedar Park and Leander, home prices rose 6.6 percent versus last July to $262,000 and home sales volume decreased by 6.5. On average, homes spent two days fewer on the market and the housing inventory declined slightly to 2.4 months.
Today I’m answering the question, “How accurate is the the Zillow estimate for my home in Austin?” Zillow’s home value estimator computes an estimated market value for your home based on a proprietary formula using public and private data – they call it a Zestimate (that’s a fun word to say!). In Febuary, the Zillow’s CEO sold his home – how close do you think his Zestimate was? Think about it for a minute and I’ll give you the answer in below.
Anyways, sometimes you visit Zillow to find out your home’s value just because it’s fun to imagine how much you could sell your house for and how much extra money you could put in your pocket even though you have no intention of selling. Other times you could be seriously thinking about selling your home in the Austin area and need the right information.
Can you trust that number? How accurate is it? The simple answer is that your Zestimate is probably wrong by a significant amount and putting too much faith in the sales price it gives you is dangerous. Zillow’s own fine print and reports support this. More than 60% of Zestimates are off by more than 5% and 40% are off by more than 10%! Your home’s actual value could be much higher or much lower than the number you get on Zillow. For my home, Zillow gave a number with a margin of error of $50,000 higher or lower! That’s not helpful at all!
In fact, Spencer Rascoff, the CEO of Zillow sold his home in Febuary for $700,000 less than his Zestimate – a 40% difference! ($1,750,000 to $1,005,000, 40% – do math on side). Zestimates can be so far off because they don’t have specific information. Zillow hasn’t visited your neighborhood or seen the kitchen or bathroom update you just put in so they might price your house too low. They also don’t know about that new prison that was just built behind your friend’s house that is dragging that neighborhood’s value down.
So how can you use a Zestimate? It is a tool that can help increase your real estate awareness and give you as a homeowner public access to some information. However, it can kind of be like guessing the number of gumballs in a jar – you know the jar is big and the candy is small but how many exactly are in there is anybody’s guess. If you really need to know the value of your home, don’t take your Zestimate at face value and contact a real estate pro like me. He or she can give you a pretty good idea or your home’s value in a short amount of time.
Anyways, I hope this REAL ANSWER has been helpful for you. If you are thinking of selling your home, you should contact me because I help people like you move smart and sell for more money.
What do these numbers mean? Well, home prices in Central Austin will continue to push home buyers to places like Round Rock and Cedar Park as affordability becomes a serious issue in Austin. Home values should continue to grow, inventory should stay very low and I would expect that any significant slowing in the market would be seen in Austin before Williamson County.
If you want to know more about the Austin market, you can visit this other post and if you are thinking of selling your home in Williamson County and want more information on how this information is affecting your neighborhood or home in particular, drop me a note or call me and I’d be happy to help!